Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 17.495824 19.893581 22.507328 25.569338 29.060010 32.917594 37.507171
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 14.528330 17.750662 21.526994 26.284335 32.125824 39.075359 47.987732
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 12.452615 16.234797 20.967057 27.335171 35.701816 46.349292 60.977329
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 10.475907 14.510479 19.876911 27.559414 38.316292 52.904241 74.296920
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.538581 12.518164 18.124314 26.631935 39.282598 57.504202 85.936303
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.006937 10.838758 16.537999 25.679032 40.072144 62.029970 98.389518
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.959704 9.702107 15.564223 25.477801 41.968182 68.555183 115.178581
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.193367 8.876502 14.938099 25.722113 44.630740 76.781427 136.370390
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.506533 8.066279 14.205985 25.668681 46.802683 84.610457 158.504390
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.077538 7.630213 14.041191 26.582072 50.857974 96.484867 190.396895
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.612275 7.049421 13.522864 26.758684 53.593214 106.457018 220.776522
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.116116 6.326080 12.619974 26.037414 54.457159 112.995031 245.672942
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.726429 5.760781 11.958166 25.742649 56.270600 122.076084 278.570867
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.490084 5.472469 11.813479 26.520911 60.561048 137.320048 328.797960
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.307122 5.267906 11.813938 27.630100 65.847723 155.914474 391.380171
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.083355 4.932801 11.471194 27.896135 69.251140 170.913458 448.927183
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.814449 4.445176 10.696467 26.987442 69.630014 178.729495 490.095788
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.582531 4.006260 9.962747 26.044953 69.751088 185.979096 531.719887
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.422135 3.718229 9.551095 25.859410 71.854830 198.942441 592.852110
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.302760 3.515403 9.321748 26.122536 75.267744 216.276741 671.448413
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.183988 3.293183 9.003327 26.080280 77.821101 231.781282 748.674503
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.116489 3.200881 9.022576 27.018679 83.503047 257.842683 866.793868
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.028231 3.033642 8.802861 27.206307 86.942567 277.865438 970.452304